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Player

Aaron Nola

PHIPBats RThrows RActive

Season 2026 pitches thrown. Sequences are 2-, 3-, and 4-pitch windows. Count filters apply to 2-pitch type rows only. Location sequences use a 4-region plate map. Date windows stay on Arsenal and Hitting. Tunnel Score on Arsenal.

2-pitch windows

2,073

CSW%

24.6%

Whiff%

24.5%

Count+

45.4%

Sequence Entropy

78

Sequence Lift

3.5%

Sequence Effectiveness

-0.6%

Location sequence
Type plus a 4-region plate map (up-in, up-away, down-in, down-away). Pairs under 20 sequences are hidden. Count filters do not apply here.
Transition flow
Two-pitch sequences. Link width is how often the next type follows.
Knuckle CurveFour-seam FastballSinkerChangeupCutterSliderUnknownKnuckle CurveFour-seam FastballSinkerChangeupCutterSliderUnknown
Transition lift
P(next | first) minus the unconditional next-pitch mix. Positive means that follow-up is used more than usual after the first type.
Knuckle CurveFour-seam FastballSinkerChangeupCutterSliderUnknownKnuckle CurveFour-seam FastballSinkerChangeupCutterSliderUnknown
Sequence tree from Four-seam Fastball
Branches are 2-pitch, then 3- and 4-pitch n-grams when the sample clears the display floor. Count filters hide 3/4-grams.
Four-seam FastballKnuckle CurveKnuckle CurveSinkerChangeupKnuckle CurveFour-seam FastballSinkerKnuckle CurveChangeupFour-seam FastballKnuckle CurveSinkerChangeupFour-seam FastballChangeupFour-seam FastballKnuckle CurveCutterFour-seam FastballKnuckle CurveKnuckle CurveFour-seam FastballSinkerSinkerKnuckle CurveFour-seam FastballFour-seam FastballKnuckle CurveSinkerChangeupChangeupCutterKnuckle CurveChangeupKnuckle CurveKnuckle CurveFour-seam FastballSinkerFour-seam FastballKnuckle CurveChangeupChangeupFour-seam FastballKnuckle CurveSinkerKnuckle CurveFour-seam FastballCutterSinkerKnuckle CurveKnuckle CurveSinkerChangeupSinkerKnuckle CurveChangeupKnuckle CurveFour-seam FastballFour-seam FastballKnuckle CurveCutterKnuckle CurveKnuckle CurveFour-seam FastballFour-seam FastballKnuckle CurveChangeupChangeupSinker
Whiff% after Four-seam Fastball
Last-pitch rates on the follow-up. Sample floors hide tiny pairs.
Pooled model after Four-seam Fastball
Observed mix versus a league-pooled next-pitch model given last pitch and count. Smoothing for rare contexts, not a sit or pick.