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Player

Merrill Kelly

AZPBats RThrows RActive

Season 2025 pitches thrown. Sequences are 2-, 3-, and 4-pitch windows. Count filters apply to 2-pitch type rows only. Location sequences use a 4-region plate map. Date windows stay on Arsenal and Hitting. Tunnel Score on Arsenal.

2-pitch windows

2,084

CSW%

22.0%

Whiff%

20.7%

Count+

46.7%

Sequence Entropy

85

Sequence Lift

2.4%

Sequence Effectiveness

-1.8%

Location sequence
Type plus a 4-region plate map (up-in, up-away, down-in, down-away). Pairs under 20 sequences are hidden. Count filters do not apply here.
Transition flow
Two-pitch sequences. Link width is how often the next type follows.
ChangeupFour-seam FastballCutterSinkerCurveballSliderUnknownChangeupFour-seam FastballCutterSinkerCurveballSliderUnknown
Transition lift
P(next | first) minus the unconditional next-pitch mix. Positive means that follow-up is used more than usual after the first type.
ChangeupFour-seam FastballCutterSinkerCurveballSliderUnknownChangeupFour-seam FastballCutterSinkerCurveballSliderUnknown
Sequence tree from Cutter
Branches are 2-pitch, then 3- and 4-pitch n-grams when the sample clears the display floor. Count filters hide 3/4-grams.
CutterChangeupChangeupCutterFour-seam FastballSliderFour-seam FastballChangeupFour-seam FastballCutterCutterChangeupFour-seam FastballSinkerChangeupSliderCutterChangeupChangeupCutterFour-seam FastballFour-seam FastballChangeupSinkerCurveballCutterCutterSliderFour-seam FastballChangeupFour-seam FastballChangeupFour-seam FastballCutterCutterSliderSinkerSinkerCutterChangeupChangeupChangeupSinkerFour-seam FastballSliderCurveballSliderChangeupFour-seam FastballChangeupSinkerChangeupCutterCurveballChangeupSinkerSinkerCurveballCutter
Whiff% after Cutter
Last-pitch rates on the follow-up. Sample floors hide tiny pairs.
Pooled model after Cutter
Observed mix versus a league-pooled next-pitch model given last pitch and count. Smoothing for rare contexts, not a sit or pick.