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Player

Seth Lugo

KCPBats RThrows RActive

Season 2026 pitches thrown. Sequences are 2-, 3-, and 4-pitch windows. Count filters apply to 2-pitch type rows only. Location sequences use a 4-region plate map. Date windows stay on Arsenal and Hitting. Tunnel Score on Arsenal.

2-pitch windows

2,001

CSW%

21.1%

Whiff%

17.1%

Count+

45.6%

Sequence Entropy

91

Sequence Lift

2.8%

Sequence Effectiveness

-5.5%

Location sequence
Type plus a 4-region plate map (up-in, up-away, down-in, down-away). Pairs under 20 sequences are hidden. Count filters do not apply here.
Transition flow
Two-pitch sequences. Link width is how often the next type follows.
SinkerFour-seam FastballCurveballCutterSweeperSliderChangeupSlow CurveSlurveUnknownSinkerCutterCurveballFour-seam FastballChangeupSweeperSliderSlow CurveSlurve
Transition lift
P(next | first) minus the unconditional next-pitch mix. Positive means that follow-up is used more than usual after the first type.
SinkerFour-seam FastballCurveballCutterSweeperSliderChangeupSlow CurveSlurveUnknownSinkerCutterCurveballFour-seam FastballChangeupSweeperSliderSlow CurveSlurve
Sequence tree from Curveball
Branches are 2-pitch, then 3- and 4-pitch n-grams when the sample clears the display floor. Count filters hide 3/4-grams.
CurveballCutterCurveballCurveballSinkerCutterFour-seam FastballSliderChangeupSweeperCurveballCurveballCutterCurveballFour-seam FastballChangeupFour-seam FastballCurveballSinkerChangeupSliderSweeperCutterSinkerSliderCurveballCutterSinkerSweeperChangeupFour-seam FastballChangeupFour-seam FastballCurveballCutterSinkerSweeperSliderCurveballSweeperSweeperCurveballSlow CurveSlurve
Whiff% after Curveball
Last-pitch rates on the follow-up. Sample floors hide tiny pairs.
Pooled model after Curveball
Observed mix versus a league-pooled next-pitch model given last pitch and count. Smoothing for rare contexts, not a sit or pick.