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Player

Rafael Devers

SF1BBats LThrows RActive

Season 2026 pitches faced. Sequences are 2-, 3-, and 4-pitch windows. Count filters apply to 2-pitch type rows only. Location sequences use a 4-region plate map. Date windows stay on Arsenal and Hitting.

2-pitch windows

1,981

Chase%

35.1%

Whiff%

26.0%

xwOBA

0.332

Sequence Entropy

64

Sequence Lift

8.9%

Sequence Effectiveness

+0.007

Location sequence
Type plus a 4-region plate map (up-in, up-away, down-in, down-away). Pairs under 20 sequences are hidden. Count filters do not apply here.
Transition flow
Two-pitch sequences. Link width is how often the next type follows.
Four-seam FastballSinkerSliderChangeupCutterSweeperCurveballSplitterKnuckle CurveUnknownSlurveFastballForkballSlow CurveEephusKnuckleballFour-seam FastballSinkerSliderChangeupCutterSweeperCurveballSplitterKnuckle CurveUnknownSlurveForkballFastballSlow CurveEephus
Transition lift
P(next | first) minus the unconditional next-pitch mix. Positive means that follow-up is used more than usual after the first type.
Four-seam FastballSinkerSliderChangeupCutterSweeperCurveballSplitterKnuckle CurveUnknownSlurveFastballForkballSlow CurveEephusKnuckleballFour-seam FastballSinkerSliderChangeupCutterSweeperCurveballSplitterKnuckle CurveUnknownSlurveForkballFastballSlow CurveEephus
Sequence tree from Four-seam Fastball
Branches are 2-pitch, then 3- and 4-pitch n-grams when the sample clears the display floor. Count filters hide 3/4-grams.
Four-seam FastballFour-seam FastballFour-seam FastballFour-seam FastballChangeupSliderSinkerCutterSplitterCurveballSweeperSliderFour-seam FastballSliderChangeupFour-seam FastballChangeupSweeperFour-seam FastballCutterFour-seam FastballSinkerFour-seam FastballSplitterFour-seam FastballCurveballFour-seam FastballKnuckle CurveUnknownChangeupFour-seam FastballFour-seam FastballSliderChangeupFour-seam FastballCutterSinkerSliderSliderFour-seam FastballFour-seam FastballChangeupSliderFour-seam FastballSinkerChangeupSinkerFour-seam FastballSinkerChangeupCutterSweeperSliderCutterFour-seam FastballFour-seam FastballCutterCurveballSweeperFour-seam FastballFour-seam FastballSinkerSweeperSplitterFour-seam FastballFour-seam FastballSplitterCurveballCurveballFour-seam FastballKnuckle CurveFour-seam FastballSlurveSlurveForkballUnknown
Chase% after Four-seam Fastball
Last-pitch rates on the follow-up. Sample floors hide tiny pairs.
Pooled model after Four-seam Fastball
Observed mix versus a league-pooled next-pitch model given last pitch and count. Smoothing for rare contexts, not a sit or pick.